Thanks for your offer. According to Ian he will let us have all the data since 2-3 years shortly together with final positions. So I will be able to get everything IR has rated.
If your data includes SP prices then that would save me a lot of time as it is crucial to have this information to do system testing.
No - no price info. And back then there was much less general info on the tables. It would be a real pencil and paper slog using them! Great news that Ian can get the back data.
There was only 1 qualifier on 14/06/06 and that was Sake in 3:40B and won at 9/2. Results based on the latest system rules from beginning of June are:-
DATE RN HORSE DN TIME COURSE GNG SRF DST RUN CLS AGE H/S RT SP POS RES CML
01/06/06 10 Taboor 5 4:30 YARMOUTH GF FL 5 16 5 3YO+ HCP OPN 8.00 1 8.00 8.00
02/06/06 8 Starboard Light 2 4:25 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 9 13 6 3YO HCP OPN 5.00 UP -1.00 7.00
03/06/06 6 The Leather Wedge 7 2:20 MUSSELBURGH G FL 5 15 4 3YO+ HCP OPN 10.00 UP -1.00 6.00
03/06/06 8 Speedy Sam 12 6:20 SOUTHWELL ST AW 8 12 5 3YO STK MDN 2.50 1 2.50 8.50
03/06/06 2 Smile For Us 1 7:50 SOUTHWELL ST AW 6 8 5 3YO HCP OPN 6.00 UP -1.00 7.50
07/06/06 5 Mrs Crossy 7 1:50 LINGFIELD ST AW 5 10 6 2YO STK SEL 4.50 1 4.50 12.00
07/06/06 1 Bridge It Jo 8 2:40 NOTTINGHAM GF FL 5 10 5 2YO STK MDN 4.50 1 4.50 16.50
07/06/06 1 Illustrious Blue 8 8:52 KEMPTON ST AW 8 10 4 3YO HCP OPN 5.00 3 -1.00 15.50
09/06/06 2 Ruffie 11 3:30 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 9 13 6 3YO STK CLM 4.50 3 -1.00 14.50
09/06/06 1 Stoic Leader 4 4:30 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 6 13 5 4YO+ HCP OPN 6.50 UP -1.00 13.50
09/06/06 3 Elusive Warrior 4 4:40 BRIGHTON F FL 6 7 5 3YO HCP OPN 5.00 UP -1.00 12.50
09/06/06 4 Mormeatmic 3 8:10 HAYDOCK GF FL 5 10 4 3YO HCP OPN 7.00 UP -1.00 11.50
10/06/06 1 Lucayos 3 4:40 GOODWOOD GF FL 5 9 5 3YO HCP OPN 4.50 3 -1.00 10.50
10/06/06 3 Primo Way 1 6:00 MUSSELBURGH GF FL 7 9 4 4YO+ HCP OPN 5.50 UP -1.00 9.50
10/06/06 11 Three Decades 10 6:15 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 6 13 5 2YO STK MDN 2.75 1 2.75 12.25
10/06/06 4 Stoic Leader 2 7:45 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 7 12 5 4YO+ HCP OPN 4.00 UP -1.00 11.25
10/06/06 6 Montjeu Man 7 8:20 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 9 10 5 3YO STK MDN 3.50 2 -1.00 10.25
10/06/06 1 Wee Charlie Castle 1 8:50 WOLVERHAMPTON ST AW 9 13 6 3YO HCP OPN 5.50 UP -1.00 9.25
13/06/06 7 Perlachy 12 2:30 REDCAR F FL 6 13 5 2YO STK MDN 6.00 2 -1.00 8.25
13/06/06 2 Marko Jadeo 5 2:45 SALISBURY GF FL 7 16 5 3YO+ STK CLM 6.50 3 -1.00 7.25
13/06/06 2 Marmooq 6 3:30 REDCAR F FL 7 9 5 3YO HCP OPN 5.50 3 -1.00 6.25
13/06/06 3 Loves Bidding 9 6:45 CHESTER GF FL 5 10 4 2YO STK MDN 5.00 UP -1.00 5.25
14/06/06 1 Sake 13 3:40 BEVERLEY GF FL 7 15 5 4YO+ HCP OPN 4.50 1 4.50 9.75
LONGEST LOSING RUN (LLR) = 7
INITIAL DRAWDOWN (ID) = 0
PEAK TO TROUGH DRAWDOWN (PTD) = -11.25
TOTAL SELECTIONS (T)= 23
WINS (W)= 6
STRIKE RATE (SR) % = 26%
PROFIT/LOSS (P/L) £ TO LEVEL STAKES AT SP = +9.75
RATE OF RETURN (ROI) % = 42%
AVERAGE WINNING ODDS = 4.46/1
AVERAGE LOSING ODDS = 5.59/1
AVERAGE TOTAL ODDS = 5.29/1
ACTUAL/EXPECTED RATIO (A/E) = 1.64
I was looking back at some of the systems I've used with the Inform figures. I noticed that I used a filter of field size: minimum 5 runners, maximum 15.
I'm sure filtering by runners should improve matters, however the number of qualifiers is so low it is not worth doing much more filtering until more data is collected. As I've said 200+ would be the minimum and should at least cover a full season, but 3 much more usual and 10 preferred.
