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Re: Tropical Paradise Won 25/1

Found three today although won't keep posting these as hopefully big prices and have to accept some losing runs. I will however post any decent priced winners although this will be after timing I admit, all the info will be there to be seen afterwards too.

5.15 Leicester. Spring Green and Mythical Blue. The former is 1 below its last win hcap mark after good third in better class. 2/11 = 18% strike rate, f/cast 9/1. The latter is down 4 from lto and although still 2 higher than last win hcap mark has excellent srtike rate of 7/18 = 39%, f/cast 16/1.

Sea Wall is also a qualifier at Ffos Las but I have to be honest and admit I can't get a hold of jump racing as I can with flat.

Good luck, shame the two are in the same race at Leicester though.

Re: Tropical Paradise Won 25/1

Hi Paul
just had a look at your two in the 5:15 at Leicester,
Does it matter that Mythical Blue has gone up in the weights by over 1 stone since its last run, I realise it was in a better class than todays field, where as Spring Green has gone up in the weights by 7lbs ?
I do like the look of Guto, Lower rating, down in weight, maybe a place ???
Regards

Re: Tropical Paradise Won 25/1

No, not when it comes to handicaps. The mark is a leveller to the race (generally) on how each horse rates against each other.

If I ran against Usain Bolt, he would have to carry lets say a car in extra weight to give me a chance. Next time I run against a 12 year old and I would probably have to carry maybe a tv to try and level things out and finish equal which is what the handicapper tries to do.

So I have gone form carrying no extra weight to carrying a tv but only as the race conditions or competitors are different if you get what I mean, to make things supposedly level. This is me effectively dropping in class which is what Mythical Blue is doing from a class 3 lto to a class 5 today. (The more I look the more I like this each way.)

If Mythical Blue is rated 100, I haven't looked but say 100 and Spring Green is carrying 95 then whatever handicap race they run in Mythical Blue will carry 5lbs more, until their ratings change.

I don't go too much on the odd pound here and there but weight would eventually stop trains as they say.

Hope a small bit of this makes sense at least and if any part is wrong I stand to be corrected by anyone as I am no expert but believe this is how it is.

Re: Tropical Paradise Won 25/1

Just had £15 win on each 9/1 and 14/1. Guaranteed best odds with Totesport.

Good luck, we all know they will both come knowhere!

Re: Tropical Paradise Won 25/1

Thanks Paul & best of luck

Re: Tropical Paradise Won 25/1

Get In There Nice Double up