wins
2.40 newc
Love lace
d/g winner trn at crs 7.24% sire at crs shows a profit
not won for over 600 days this horse is down in grade so must have a chance its run well recently
Souter's sister. has been running well recently
but jk stats not happy with plus this horse has not won at this crs and the sire stats at this crs is 1 win from 46 days the or is not good and the horse no wins for over 500 days
4.10 newc
Rebel duke been running well not won on crs/gng trn makes profit at this crs
RED CAPE has been running well c/d no wins jck at crs s/r is 4.4% and trn is only 6.6& and tof
STRIKE UP THE BAND in good form d/g win jk stats no good this horse no wins at crs and the sire has no wins from 38 runs
these horse been running well but stats not good
7.00 ffos
STAN
in good form he is 11 yrs old is up in dist from last race sire shows profit at this crs has run 11 times without a win he is not consistent but or is good so worth ew bet or just a place bet on exchanges
my bets
STAN a place bet
LOVELACE place bet
as you can see i have done a lot of work on stats
the lovelace bet became a win bet because it was evens
stan was a good place bet i got evens
so both bet won
Well done mate, its nice when the effort pays off.
thanks paul
win or ew or place bets
2.45 ascot bella swan 1st class r/f ew
5.05 ascot audemar been running well but this was on all weather today is turf?
5.40 ascot wise dennis r/f is very good ew
6.50 kelso premier dane r/f is 1st class or is good a place only bet
7.55 kelso 3 horses with good r/f maybe dutch bet if possible
snowy has real good r/f
harry flashman form is good also he likes it here or good sometimes i worry with the jumping
something silver recent form brilliant or good maybe jumping could be better
9.10 kempton gazboolou c/d winner running well trn and jck in good form or is +8 can get 40s on exchange might be worth a little ew bet
other horses recent running in good form
fiefdom 3.30 ponty but 0/25 dist xpress maite d/g winner or good no wins last 16 runs
2.30 southwell this is a very bad race but mad proffessor has very good r/form its jumping could be better and it has a 7lb claimer which 7lb claimers i dont like
some
Well done Rhur, good to see profit and loss, gives an idea how things are going.
Good luck
horses run well in recent runs
brighton
7.00 dancers legacy 15 for win 3.1 place trn at crs 5% sire does brilliant
7.30 pabs special 39 for win 5.1 place trn for month no good
8.00 thoughts of stardom trn poor stats at crs also sire poor stats at crs its 4.6 win 2.21 plc but only 2 places
folkstone
3.10 corus jck at crs stats no good trn sire ok 4.6 win 2.32 plc this is worth a 1 win and 2 plc bet only first 2 for place
huntingdon
5.40 maree hall not a lot of stats to go on 19.5 w 3.75 plc
6.10 american cricket trn crs 4% sire ok odds 1.9 win 1.28 place because place is 1.28 no bet at all because trn only 4% @crs
6.40 lord gunnerslake 8.8 win 2.15 plc
7.10 cave of the giant stats not good odds 21w 5.9 plc
8.10 attorney general stats iffy odds 11w 2.93 plc
hereford
3.50 almaydan jck trn stats good sire iffy 4.5 w no place bets only 4 runners
redcar
2.30 nova bridge stats not bad but not sure about the going 4.5 w no place odds
4.00 maze jck no stats for crs trn sire ok horse not sure to run 2 races same so it run in a first class race last time and done well but not sure to repeat it
4.30 angel of fashion jck no stats trn sire stats good 3.2 w 1.32 plc 1 win 4 place
5.05 sharakti stats ok 18 w 3.7 plc only 2 places
so recap a lot of horses running well but because of 1 thing or another only 2 bets
folk 3.10 corus 1w@4.6 2 PL@2.32
redc 4.30 angel of fashion 1w@ 3.2 4p@1.32
forgot to put in nova bridge bet
yesterday bank was 112.40 won £12.40
today
nova bridge won bank 117.10
corus 2nd bank 118.74
angel of fashion 3rd bank 119.02
today won £6.62
to sum up i have had win bets 6/ place bets 5
i have had 2 winning bets =33.33% s/r
4 place winning bets =80%sr
outlay W£8 P11 returnW£13.70 pl £24
P/L w:£5.70 p:£13.32
pot= profit on turnover=71.25%
average odds W1.37 P2.36
average bet w1.33 p 2.2
bank high £119
bank low£99
i probably cant keep putting writes up why i bet on some horse and not others
reason is i live in 2 differant countrys
at moment im living in turkey and im 2 hours in front of uk
and some times im out of synk with the times
its ok when i get back to uk
if you are going to bet then you should keep accounts of your bets also write down why your backing them or not backing them,
im a strong believer in recent form and also i like my stats
i have built up over the years stats on jck/trn/sires they are not always up to date but im happy with them
i have read some people say a sire stat is ok if you are looking at horses running for the first time but not much use when a horse is 3/4 yrs old
i believe this is nonsence some horse i see have run in a race that has produced 1st class form from that race the horse i pick might have been 4th in that race
now that 4th horse is runningf on a course he has not run on i look at sire to see if sire run on course and if sire stats ok then the 4th horse could run alright on the new crs
sire stats have a lot to offer (ie) age/going/crs/hcps or stk races i find the sires fasinating its well worth looking into
its also worth studying my info on my bank and see if you can an interesting figure and i think once you notice it your way of betting might change
